Tuesday, August 07, 2007

The Struggle to 100

The ETA Mos(guidance) is down a bit from what it was yesterday and has forecasted us to hit 98 degrees today but with humidity, the heat index will be in the 105 range. If its going to be this hot, lets go for 100 and break some records. My forecast now is 99 at IAD. Tomorrow, is looking equally as hot as the ETA MOS is 99. I believe we will hit 100 in the next 2 days.

We will probably get some relief over the weekend but still plenty warm. Not oppressive though. the 00z GFS run showed a full latitude trough by 10 day which would take us to below normal for a few days but its too far out to say anymore about it and it dosent have support from the European.

Also, the models are starting to show some "noise" in the tropics. Still no signs of development but we could start seeing some activity in about 10 days. Stay tuned!

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