Tuesday, September 04, 2007

Sneaky Hurricance to hit the SE Coast?






While our 2nd Category 5 hurricane in the past few weeks is creating Havoc in Hondurous, the models are now developing an area of low pressure off the SE coast which has it intensifying and actually hitting the SC coast a Cat 2 or 3 Hurricane. The 00z European models shows this nicely as a 1004mb low SW of the SE coastline intensified as it hits land. If this were to happen, we could be talking about major winds and flooding for the East Coast. The European has shown this solution now twice in a row. The GFS has it but its much more of a sheared look and is not threatening in the least. This is something major to watch and could really affect the weekend. Behind the potential event, there could be a impressive rush of cool air for next week but at least for this week until we resolve this situation, it will be warm and dry

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hi Ji,
I've been looking at model runs for 99L, which it seems no one is paying attention to (maybe with good reason) and notice that they are coming into closer agreement on a move toward the Carolina coast and then off to the Northeast. I was wondering who else might be possibly be as excited about this as me and thought of you so I looked up your blog.
The latest visible loop seems to show a closed circulation and growing storm activity. We can only hope the warm water is sufficient enough between its location and the coast for development. It would be quite a disappointment if we couldn't at least get a TS out of this.