the new GFS is very bullish on a slow moving rain event that would give us quite a bit of rain over the course of 4 days.
Here would be the total rain amount if it verified through August 2nd. It would make a huge dent into our drought
If this were to happen and its looking like a decent chance, the majority would fall early next week with it starting late in the weekend. I will keep you updated
its really amazing how the rain keeps dodging us especially in eastern Loudoun County but there are signs that a stalled out front could bring us some substantial rain for the weekend. The Latest gfs runs wants to give us about 2-2.5 inches of rain over the next 5 days with most if falling off and on during the weekend. As we get closer to the potential event, i will keep you updated. However, this is far from a sure lock because we are in a drought and the rain has been finding a way to miss us.
As far as temps go, we havent hit our normal high for about 5 days and although it will get somewhat warmer, im still not impressed with the chances of any real heat wave for at least the next week although we could hit the low 90's thursday and Friday.
Hurricanes? Nope...nothing in sight.
The heat is going away for a few days and will be replaced by some nice fresh cool weather from Canada. Highs well below average and cool at night. Its going to feel like early fall rather than middle of Summer.
By this time next week, the heat should be returning and there is "talk" of a big Heat Wave. Well see...im not impressed yet from what the models are showing.
rain? Forgetaboutit. Drought City Baby! In all seriousness, we could see something early next week but Im not putting my hopes in it. Not yet.
well, the storm that appeared to maybe give us a chance for some rain this weekend is heading way north of us so we will be lucky to get a few drops. The good thing is the temps will be much cooler this weekend and into the early part of next week. By Wed, we should start to see another warmup.
Once your in a drought...its really hard to get it to rain.
It looks like another mostly dry period with most of the heat occuring in the 1st part. Tuesday looks to be the hottest day as we could hit 95. There is a chance for Thunderstorms pretty much everyday this week but as usual, they will be hit and miss.
The big change could come as we head towards friday with the possibility of some stormy weather and cooler temps. I will update later after the 12z model runs.
My old friend, the European model let me down as it took away the storm that it had for us for tomorrow. From my last Monday post, it had a pretty potent storm developing in the Gulf and coming up the coast but unfortunately, thats not going to happen and i should of waited to see at least one more run before mentioning the possibility.
There is a chance of showers and storms tonight and the weekend will be pleaseant(So there is some relief coming) before the next round of heat arrive early next week. The European does have a little wave to the south of us on Friday that could give us some rain so ill check on that in more detail.
Weekend looks pretty nice!
STORM POTENTIAL ON THURSDAY
Searing Heat for the next few days as highs will most likely hit near the 100 mark today and Tuesday. I expect to flirt with and reach 100 degrees both days.
But there is relief in sight....a stormier pattern may be in the offering and we could see a couple of storms towards the end of the week that might give us some much needed rain and temperature relief.
In fact, the latest run of the European has nice storm developing in the Gulf States and heading up the Eastern Seaboard for Thursday and Friday. That could give us the rainy day we have all been looking for. Behind that is another possible storm developing down south that could give us another event during the last part of the weekend. But thats 7 days away. Our best chance appears to be Thursday and Friday.
On Wednesday, we will start seeing temp relief as temps will drop back into a more tolerable range. Stay tuned for updates on the storm!
Been on Vacation but Im back now. I will update soon but it looks like next week is going to be sickly hot.
