More of the same just not AS hot

Yesteday, IAD broke a record by hitting 93 which is unbelievable for this time of year. What is also unbelievable is the lack of rain we have had all summer. We may get a shower or two tonight but there is nothing in the modeling that gives us any hope for real rain anytime soon. Also, it appear that for this upcoming winter, we are going to have a La Nina which if it gets too strong might really ruin winter here for us. More in that later but dont panic..we still have some hope for a decent winter.

But again, it looks like today is the last really hot day we will have of the year as a cold front does come through tonight and take us back to near normal for the weekend. We are not going to see any below normal temps as long as the pattern is what it is. Trough in the west and a Ridge in the East. We will stay normal to above normal until the pattern shifts and again nothing rainwise for the next week

Not much going on

No rain to speak off. Temps are very comfortable. It will probably climb to the low 80's towards the end of the week and we could get downright really warm for Sept early next week but that looks to be short lived. I dont like our rain chances for the rest of the week or early into next week. Story of the Summer

Really...there is nothing going on right now worth blogging about.

Its a beautiful day

The heat and humidity that has been so persistent has taken a hike and has been replaced by much drier,cooler and less humid air. This will be the dominant feature for the next 7 days as today is the first shot of cooler air and then an even more impressive cool shot will occur over the weekend where highs could be in the upper 60' and lows in the 40's in the N and W Burbs.

I am going to start posting more now as we start to head into winter. I will update the blog later with our chances for rain and hurricane potential.

The Hurricane Threat is a bust

Terrible forecasting by the models and by the people(like me) that use them lol. The usually reliable ECMWF backed off a few days ago and the GFS looks like it might score a coup here as it was never impressed. So very disappointing for alot of us who needed the rain and some fun. The high Shear really took away any chance for the blob to develop. Its not even a depression yet. It may eventually become a tropical storm but the serious threat is definitely gone.

The heat isnt a bust though and it dosent want to go away. The warmth will continue for a good part into next week before some REAL FALL Weather comes and gives us big relief by next weekend maybe.

Sneaky Hurricance to hit the SE Coast?

While our 2nd Category 5 hurricane in the past few weeks is creating Havoc in Hondurous, the models are now developing an area of low pressure off the SE coast which has it intensifying and actually hitting the SC coast a Cat 2 or 3 Hurricane. The 00z European models shows this nicely as a 1004mb low SW of the SE coastline intensified as it hits land. If this were to happen, we could be talking about major winds and flooding for the East Coast. The European has shown this solution now twice in a row. The GFS has it but its much more of a sheared look and is not threatening in the least. This is something major to watch and could really affect the weekend. Behind the potential event, there could be a impressive rush of cool air for next week but at least for this week until we resolve this situation, it will be warm and dry