Snowstorm on the way?

Sorry I haven't updated lately but there has been lots going on and most of it hasn't been weather related. But thats about to change. The models are showing a alot of cold air in Canada ready to be sent down to the United States. The cold air is scheduled to arrive this weekend. To make matters more interesting, a storm system is forecasted to develop in the southern plains and a good deal of moisture may override the large dome of cold air that will be funneling south from Canada. What that could mean for us is a sizable snow to ice to rain event for next week. This is important because its rare that it snows so early in the season and because temps will have to be much below normal to get this event to happen. Normal temps in early December are still around 50 so you have to be radically below normal to get snow this early in the season. Ironically, it has snowed in early Dec 3 times since 2003 all around Dec 5. Very weird but it could happen again.

The models now show a major winter storm. Stay tuned!

Lots of interesting weather on the way

First of all, the pattern has definitely changed. This morning is our 3rd rain event in the past 5 days after not being able to buy rain for months.

Once today's rain ends, it will warm up for the next couple of days before....more rain and cooler temps come in. A cold front will come through sometime and usher in another 1/2 inch of rain and get us really cold for the weekend.

Then for early next week, their is some signals for a storm cracking the the Tennessee valley that could head towards the Mid Atlantic. At this point, it does look like mainly a rain event, but there could be enough cold air around to make it interesting. I think the ski areas of Maryland and West Virginia and PA could do really well from this storm. The questions will be mainly about the track of the storm and if there is cold pressure in Eastern Canada. The problem is....its still November and it takes nearly perfect conditions to get snow in DC. But for the mountains just outside DC metro...this could be something really worth watching

Thanksgiving is looking pretty cold right now...and overall the end of November looks pretty cold and interesting.

Charged and Ready to go

Hey guys,

I took a break from this but now I am ready to go. Winter is here and it is by far the most exciting time of the year if your a fan of weather. As you can tell already, cold air is starting to pour in from Canada and today through Sunday, will give us an unseasonable shot of cold and maybe...just maybe a few wet snow flakes on Friday night.

Here is the 6z Nam and it does show some precip overhead with 850mb temps below zero. The problem is its early November and the other crucial layers of the atmosphere may be too warm for snow so I could definitely see some flakes mixing in.

temps during the day will be too warm for snow but marginal at night. I think tomorow night, we see temps dip as low as 26-27 at IAD.

It will warm up next week but maybe another cold shot in 10 days.