Im back...thankfully the heat isnt

I took a break from the blog from a while...but Im ready to go again. Fall is just around the corner and we actually got some decent rain last week so things are changing just a bit. Saturday was brutally hot and oppressive but I dont see that kind of weather happening anymore this year. Not like that anyway. There maybe one 90 degree day this week but this weekend will actually be really nice tempwise. As far as rain, we had our rainiest week this past week in a long time as most of the week was damp and cloudy. Hurricane Dean ended up being a Category 5 monster but it completely missed the United States.

This week is going to be boring...no rain and temps around normal. No sign of any Cane ready to hit the United States.

Rock me like a Hurricane

Well the models were right in that a hurricane did form in the Atlantic. The hurricane is now known as Hurricane Dean. Where Dean will go is the big question. Here is the current location of the Cane.

Most models right now have this baby hitting the Yucatan and sparing the United States. Previous models runs had this storm all over the place hitting places ranging from Houston to New Jersey lol.

Ill update you after the 12z model runs but a few of the newer model runs are hinting at the possibility of a more northern turn and possibly being a threat to the Gulf States.

Another Warm Week but Changes may be coming

So far every day this August has been over 90 degrees as Dulles hit 96 last night. We will probably hit the mid 90's again today but not reach 100 like I thought earlier in the week but after that, we do get a brief relief as we stay in the 80's for the weekend.

Next week is shaping pretty warm again(not as hot as this past week) but there are changes coming and by the end of next week, we could actually be seeing temps below normal(early fall preview) as a trough sets up over the East.

There is also more and more noise in the modeling regarding the possible development of a hurricane. Both the GFS and the European show a hurricane by day 10. Lets see if it develops first and then we can start worrying about the track or whether it will recurve.

DCA at 102 at 2pm

IAD is still 99--we need to get rid of the clouds. ETA mos has IAD at 104 which would break the all time record but those darn clouds!

We have another chance at 100 on Friday and then we get some much needed relief. Maybe only upper 80's on Saturday!

The Struggle to 100

The ETA Mos(guidance) is down a bit from what it was yesterday and has forecasted us to hit 98 degrees today but with humidity, the heat index will be in the 105 range. If its going to be this hot, lets go for 100 and break some records. My forecast now is 99 at IAD. Tomorrow, is looking equally as hot as the ETA MOS is 99. I believe we will hit 100 in the next 2 days.

We will probably get some relief over the weekend but still plenty warm. Not oppressive though. the 00z GFS run showed a full latitude trough by 10 day which would take us to below normal for a few days but its too far out to say anymore about it and it dosent have support from the European.

Also, the models are starting to show some "noise" in the tropics. Still no signs of development but we could start seeing some activity in about 10 days. Stay tuned!

Can we hit 100 on Tuesday?

So far, every day this August has hit at least 90 and its been mostly mid 90's. Tuesday, we have a chance to rock and roll and hit the magic mark of 100.This will definitely be our best chance of the summer. So to recap, today will be upper 90's. Tomorrow, we will probably achieve the rare magic mark of 100 and then Wednesday we will probably low to mid 90's. No major rainstorm as usual but there is always the threat of a thunderstorm or showers in the afternoon. We got a bit of rain overnight but definitely nothing that would even make a dent in our drought.

There is one bit of good news. There is a chance that a trough develops in the East at the start of next weekend which could over us relief from the relentless heat we had the past week or so.

Still nothing in the tropic to get excited about

Could be a long stretch of 90's

if the models are correct and they are really bringing the heat, we could see a very long stretch of 90 degree days in a row. Next week is looking brutally hot and no rain is in sight. The worst of Summer is coming

Hot,Dry and Boring

Really nothing earthshattering to tell you. August is here and it looks like the dog days of Summer are upon us. Most days for the forseable future will be in the 90's with a shot at upper 90's next week. This weekend cools a bit but will still be very warm. As far as rain, I hope you enjoyed what we got during the weekend because there is nothing coming. The rain over the weekend was a letdown and much less than what the models were adversting 3-4 days before hand. The drought wins again.

July is over and the average temp will starting going down from now till February so Winter is coming. Lets take a look back at July for IAD and DCA

IAD finished July about 1.6 above normal with a high of 97 on July 9. We had 13 90 degree days which was up from 8 in June. Not too bad. Somehow it rained 1.75 inches which was way below normal(1.82). The weekend storm gave us nearly an inch in about 4 days. We had one day where the high temp was 79! There was no snow

DCA finished July at Normal with a high of 98 on july 9 and 10. DCA featured 14 90 degree days. DCA got alot more rain than IAD with 2.40 inches but still 1.26 below normal. DCA also had an inch from the weekend event. July 29 was the wettest day at DCA with .98 inches


Still no signs of any hurricanes