Thursday, December 21, 2006

Is Winter Over?

Strange question to ask on the first day of winter but we will answer that question shortly.

First of all, sorry about the lack of updates. Was away in NYC for the first part of the week. Well, it dosent appear that we are going to get a white Christmas after all. I said in my last email that it will get cooler but the air source will not be arctic in nature which means we need a perfect storm track to get snow. Even though we are going to be in a stormy pattern, its not a particulalry snowy pattern. It appears that this weekend will feature a rainstorm(Friday-Saturday) and then there will be another storm on Dec 26-27. The details of that storm are still in question again without really cold air in Canada, you need a PERFECT setup for snow when your cold air is limited. There could be another storm shortly after that but again....very questionable as far as snow.


So back to my question? Is Winter over? I said in my winter outlook that December will be the warmest and least snowiest month of this season. Most El Nino winters start off slow and they really pick up steam in January and February. In 2002, December was very similar to this December. First 10 days were cold and then it was very mild till the first week of January. After that winter locked in and was relentless through the end of February and we had historic snowfall amounts. So---Im not pulling the plug.

No comments: