Winter Pattern update

In case you havent noticed, its gotten cold. The days of 60's are long gone and the modeling shows no end to the cold in sight. As a matter of fact, we could have a severe artic outbreak towards the begining of February. I have a hard time believing that we wont see a major snowstorm or two before the pattern breaks whenever it breaks. We nowhave the greenland block which is conducive to keeping cold weather locked in and a couple of other features that are favorable for a wintry pattern.

Well who cares about cold? We want to know about snow right? A few days ago i mentioned the possiblity of a snow event that could drop a few inches. Ive been watching this and the modeling is taking the bulk of the precip south primarly due to the blocking. The blocking can be a friend or a foe sometimes. So while i still think it will snow on Monday, i think at the best-we will do 1-2 inches with more south than north. There is alot of energy in the atmosphere and until it consildates and the northern branch and southern branch of the jetstreams merge or phase, the Big One will not happen. I do think the big one will happen but probably not till the end of january, early february.

I will watch the storm over the weekend as it will drop a good amount of snow over the southern plains and a good ice storm for the Carolinas but for us, we are on the northern edge. If i had to guess now i would say 1-2 inches for our area probably leaning towards the 1 inch. If anything changes and i have to cancel or upgrade, i will post this weekend.