Monday, February 05, 2007

The little Clipper that Could?

Usually to get 10 inches of snow, you need an inch of water to fall. Typically its a 10-1 ratio. But when its abnormally cold at the surface and in the upper levels, you can get 20 or 25:1 ratios. Who cares right? Well, You may care come Tuesday night as a Clipper from Canada is modeled to actually surive its trip across south and across the mountains and give us up to .2 of water. With the extreme cold in place, we could see a 1-4 inch snowfall Tuesday night from a moisture starved clipper from Canada.. These clippers are very hard to forecast and most usually die over the mountains but this one may have enough umph with it to give us a powdery snowfall that we may have to shovel. Ill update this later today or tommorow.

Now...we do have the real cold air in place and it wont be till late this week till we go above freezing. As I mentioned a few days ago, we are in a dry pattern and we need to reshuffle the deck and I believe that will occur this weekend as the cold air relaxes some and energy starts to head east via the southern jet stream. The big question is...how much cold air will be around for stormy period. You see, if your going to get a big storm...there has to be warm air somewhere around so there is a risk of an improper track giving us rain next week.. All I will say now is that in about 8 days, there could be a Massive Winter storm with lots of moisture. The question will be and I cant answer now is.will there be enough cold air left to give us a Major Snowfall or do we keep seeing the unlucky syncronizaztion of too dry when cold and too warm when its wet..

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