Thursday, February 08, 2007

Winter Storm Next week Nearly a Lock

I think there is a 95% chance that we see a significant Winter storm Next week. The question remains...the track..the amount of cold air available and the amount of snow that will fall. The models have some differences in them that could either mean all snow or a snow to a mix. Its all dependant on the location of the high pressure in Canada. Yesterday, I was pretty confident that there would be enough high pressure in Southern Canada to give us all snow.. but today some of the models say otherwise and that we would run the riskof heavy snow to mix. One thing Im pretty certain off is that this wont be a historical storm that drops 1-2 feet. I was a bit too ambituous yesterday. I still strongly believe that this has the potential to give the DC area nearly a foot of snow. But with the storm 3-4 days out now...and models in chaos...there is still alot than can go right....or go wrong. But bottom line is, i think we will see a major winter storm in the Ohio Valley, Mid Atlantic and Possibly New England early next week. If i had to pick the place for bullseye, I would right now say Hagerstown area.

After the storm, another severe cold blast and then we look at the possibility of a even bigger storm around Presidents Day Weekend which is historically a time where special storms are brewed due to the changing seasons and gradient of cold air and warm air. Stay tuned. A very stormy and cold period coming up!

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