My First call on Winter storm.......

Has been cancelled till till tomorrow afternoon. There is too much model chaos to make a reasonable call right now.

This is what we do know

1) Major East Coast Winter Storm
2) Low pressure will develop in the southern plains and head NE

Where the models dont agree is how far the low pressure heads northeast before hitting a brick wall thanks to a monster high pressure block in Canada. The snowy models have the low heading up to Kentucky and then redeveloping at the NC/SC coast. Once the low hits the coast, it would bomb and ride up goes up the coast and nails us with an incredible snowstorm and probably shut down DC to Boston for a few days.

However some a few other models have the low going further north up into Ohio before hitting the wall and then redeveloping near the Va Capes. This would be a disaster for snow lovers as it would bring too much warm air up from the south and kill the cold air in place. I dont buy this solution but it is on the table.

A third solution would be a compromise of the first 2 scenarios and would give us heavy snow that would turn to sleet as the low heads to SW virginia before redeveloping. This would give us 4-8 inches and then alot of sleet. Right now, the third solution is what I would lean too but the latest run of the American Weather model which many TV forecasters use as their Bible, leans towards scenario 1 which would give us a prolific snowfall.

Tomorrow should clear things up better and Im hoping by 2pm Sunday, I can issue a forecast instead of all this speculation.

This storm is going to clobber somebody...I just dont know who yet?